Carry Over Cooking Predictor

Predict how many degrees your roast will continue cooking after you pull it from the oven. Get the exact pull temperature for a perfect medium rare.

Roast Timeline roasting
OVEN PULL REST center: --
2000 g
200C
54.0C
48.5 C
Pull Temperature
Carry Over +5.5 C
Rest Time 16 min
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Frequently Asked Questions

What is carry-over cooking and why does it happen?

Carry-over cooking, also called thermal inertia, is the continued rise in internal temperature after food is removed from the oven. Heat stored in the outer layers continues conducting toward the center. A roast pulled at 50°C can reach 54°C during resting - the difference between rare and medium-rare.

How does oven temperature affect carry-over?

Higher oven temperatures (200-250°C) create a larger temperature gradient between the surface and the core, storing more latent heat in the crust. This increases the carry-over effect. A roast cooked at 120°C will have minimal carry-over (~1°C), while one at 220°C can gain 5-8°C during rest.

Does the shape of the meat change the carry-over calculation?

Yes. Geometry significantly affects heat penetration. Whole birds and thick roasts have more thermal mass relative to surface area, so they retain more heat and carry over more. Flat cuts like steaks have high surface-to-volume ratios and cool quickly, with minimal carry-over.

How long should I rest the meat after pulling it?

Rest time depends on weight and geometry. A general rule is about 1 minute per 100g of meat, minimum 10 minutes, maximum 45 minutes. A 2kg roast needs roughly 16 minutes of rest. During this time the internal temperature equalizes and the carry-over effect completes.

# Carry-Over Cooking Predictor: Get the Perfect Pull Temperature Every Time

Carry-over cooking is the continued rise in internal temperature after food leaves the oven. The outer layers store heat during roasting, and this energy keeps conducting toward the cooler center during rest. A thick roast pulled at 50°C can reach 54°C after resting - the difference between rare and medium-rare. This calculator predicts exactly how many degrees your roast will climb so you can pull it at the precise moment.
5-8°C Typical carry-over (hot oven)
1-3°C Minimal carry-over (low oven)
16 min Rest time for 2kg roast
45 min Maximum recommended rest

# Pull Temperature Chart by Doneness

Use this chart to find your target internal temperature, then let the calculator determine the exact pull temperature. Remember: the pull temperature is always lower than your target because the carry-over effect will continue cooking during rest.
Doneness Target Temp Pull Temp (200°C oven) Rest Time
Beef Rare52°C / 126°F46-48°C / 115-118°F10-15 min
Beef Medium-Rare54°C / 129°F48-50°C / 118-122°F10-15 min
Beef Medium60°C / 140°F54-56°C / 129-133°F10-15 min
Beef Well Done71°C / 160°F65-67°C / 149-153°F10-15 min
Pork Medium63°C / 145°F57-59°C / 135-138°F10-15 min
Pork Well Done71°C / 160°F65-67°C / 149-153°F10-15 min
Chicken/Turkey Breast74°C / 165°F68-70°C / 154-158°F15-20 min
Chicken/Turkey Thigh82°C / 180°F76-78°C / 169-172°F15-20 min
Lamb Medium-Rare54°C / 129°F48-50°C / 118-122°F10-15 min
Lamb Medium60°C / 140°F54-56°C / 129-133°F10-15 min

# How Geometry Changes the Thermal Calculus

Whole Bird

Maximum thermal mass relative to surface area. The thick breast and thigh cores store enormous latent heat.

  • Carry-over: 5-10°C from a 200°C oven
  • Rest: 20-45 minutes
  • Best for: turkey, whole chicken, duck
  • Pull 8-10°C below target

Cylindrical Roast

The most common roasting shape. Moderate heat retention with predictable carry-over values.

  • Carry-over: 3-7°C from a 200°C oven
  • Rest: 15-30 minutes
  • Best for: tenderloin, pork loin, lamb rack
  • Pull 5-7°C below target

Flat Cut

High surface-to-volume ratio means heat escapes quickly. Carry-over is minimal but still matters.

  • Carry-over: 1-3°C from a 200°C oven
  • Rest: 5-15 minutes
  • Best for: steaks, chicken breast, fish fillet
  • Pull 1-3°C below target

# Common Carry-Over Mistakes and How to Fix Them

Pulling too late

Warning
If you wait until the thermometer reads your target temperature before pulling, the carry-over will overshoot by 3-8°C. A medium-rare roast becomes medium or medium-well. Always pull 5-8°C below your target. Use this calculator to get the exact number.

Carving too soon

Critical issue
Cutting into a roast immediately after pulling releases up to 30% of the juices. The thermal gradient has no time to equalize, so the center stays undercooked while the outer layers overcook. Rest for the full recommended time. Tent loosely with foil - do not wrap tightly or the steam will soften the crust.

Oven temperature too low

Worth noting
A low oven (below 150°C / 300°F) creates minimal temperature gradient between the surface and core. This means almost no carry-over effect. If you are cooking at low temperature, you can pull at your exact target temperature with minimal risk of overshoot. However, the crust development will be significantly reduced.

# Pro Tips for Perfect Roasting

The 10 Degree Rule
A hot oven (220°C / 425°F) adds roughly 1°C of carry-over per 100g of meat for whole birds, and 0.7°C per 100g for cylindrical roasts. Use this as a sanity check against the calculator: a 2kg chicken at 220°C should carry over about 7-9°C.
Resting Position Matters
Always rest meat on a warm plate or cutting board, not a cold surface. A cold surface will pull heat from the bottom of the roast, creating uneven final temperatures. For whole birds, rest breast-side up so the juices redistribute evenly through the white meat.
Tent, Don't Wrap
Loosely tent the roast with aluminum foil during rest. Wrapping tightly traps steam and turns the crust soggy. A loose tent reduces heat loss by about 30% while allowing steam to escape, preserving both the carry-over effect and the crispy exterior.

# Key Roasting Terms Glossary

Carry-Over Cooking
The continued rise in internal temperature after food is removed from the heat source, caused by heat conducting from the outer layers toward the center.
Pull Temperature
The internal temperature at which you should remove the meat from the oven. Always lower than the target temperature to account for carry-over.
Target Temperature
The final internal temperature you want the meat to reach after resting. Also called the serving temperature.
Thermal Inertia
The tendency of a mass to resist temperature change. Heavier, denser cuts have higher thermal inertia and carry over more.
Resting
The period after cooking where the meat sits untouched, allowing heat to equalize and juices to redistribute throughout the fibers.
Temperature Gradient
The difference in temperature between the surface of the meat and its core. A larger gradient stores more latent heat for carry-over.
Latent Heat
The heat energy stored in the outer layers of the meat during cooking. This energy is released as the temperature equalizes during rest.

# Quick Reference: Recommended Pull Temperatures

Pull at these temperatures for perfect results (200°C / 400°F oven)

Beef medium-rare: pull at 48-50°C / 118-122°F, target 54°C / 129°F
Beef medium: pull at 54-56°C / 129-133°F, target 60°C / 140°F
Pork loin: pull at 57-59°C / 135-138°F, target 63°C / 145°F
Chicken breast: pull at 68-70°C / 154-158°F, target 74°C / 165°F
Whole turkey: pull at 68-70°C / 154-158°F, target 74°C / 165°F (breast)
Lamb rack: pull at 48-50°C / 118-122°F, target 54°C / 129°F
Every roast is different. Weight, exact oven temperature, and the shape of the cut all shift these numbers. That is exactly what this calculator does - it takes your specific inputs and computes the precise pull temperature for your exact situation. No guesswork, no ruined roasts.

Bibliographic References